Union in the polls -“Merkel is now intervening in the election campaign”

The pressure on Armin Laschet is growing: Both the Union and its candidate for chancellor are fighting with poor poll numbers in the election campaign. Support is now coming from Chancellor Angela Merkel. 

Chancellor Angela Merkel  ( CDU ) is now also to become active in the Union’s election campaign . A CDU spokesman for the German Press Agency announced on Thursday that an appointment is planned for August 21 in the Berlin Tempodrom. The “Tagesspiegel” had previously reported on it. It was initially unclear whether the outgoing Chancellor would appear together with CDU boss and Union Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet .

Both the Union and Laschet recently lost a lot of approval in the polls. After the flood disaster in western Germany in mid-July, Laschet made headlines with several appearances that were perceived as unfortunate.

CDU politicians are calling for more momentum in the election campaign

In view of the weak polls, leading CDU politicians are calling for more momentum in their own party’s election campaign. Schleswig-Holstein’s Prime Minister Daniel Günther told the “Handelsblatt” about the election campaign so far: “That doesn’t convince anyone.” A more substantive discussion is now needed. “We have to focus on the issues that are important to people.” Laschet refused to change his campaign strategy.

Laschet sticks to his strategy

Laschet refused to change his campaign strategy. “We advertise ourselves and our ideas,” he said during a visit to Torgau in Saxony. “I’m sticking to this strategy.” He does not want to use a sharper tone in the election campaign – he is concerned with “promoting one’s own course”, which must, however, take place in “human form”. He rejects personal defamation.

Despite falling polls, nothing was lost for the Union a good six weeks before the election, said Wanderwitz. “My feeling is that many voters don’t really know who they want to entrust the land to after Angela Merkel. The CDU has to work out that red-red-green or a traffic light would lead our country into a dead end on the left.”

The polls for the Union and especially for the Chancellor candidate Laschet had fallen in recent weeks. A current Forsa survey sees the CDU / CSU at 23 percent – and thus just ahead of the Greens (20 percent) and the SPD (19 percent). Laschet only got twelve percent approval in the survey.

“It has to go up”

Prime Minister Günther warned his party against a debate about the candidate. “We as a Union answered the question of who would be the top candidate for us in the election campaign,” emphasized Günther. “We are wisely advised to pull everyone together now.” He also expressly referred the appeal for unity to the CSU. “Because a common success that we achieve with unity is also a success for the CSU,” said Günther.

The CDU politician cited the flood disaster as the reason for the Union’s previous difficulties in the election campaign, which required Laschet’s attention and prevented him from participating in the election campaign. “This allows you to have a certain hangover in the surveys,” said Günther. “But hanging also means that things have to go up again.”

Laschet continued his campaign tour through Germany on Thursday. In Dresden he visited the site of the chip manufacturer Global Foundries. He spoke out in favor of strengthening production in Germany – the “industrial substance of Germany” would be endangered “if we do not become self-sufficient”. Dresden should be strengthened as a semiconductor location.

Union is also falling in another survey – Greens just behind

Before the federal election, the union around Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet has to accept another setback. In another poll on Wednesday, it loses, the SPD can gain. 

The Union is also losing approval in a Kantar poll. 22 percent of those surveyed would vote for the CDU / CSU if there was a general election next Sunday, as the poll published on Wednesday on behalf of the news magazine “Focus” revealed.

Only 22 percent  

Union is also falling in another survey – Greens just behind

Survey on the 2021 federal election: Union continues to decline - SPD increases.  Armin Laschet: The Union's candidate for chancellor is in the polls.  (Source: dpa)

Armin Laschet: The Union’s candidate for chancellor is in the polls. (Source: dpa)

Before the federal election, the union around Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet has to accept another setback. In another poll on Wednesday, it loses, the SPD can gain. 

The Union is also losing approval in a Kantar poll. 22 percent of those surveyed would vote for the CDU / CSU if there was a general election next Sunday, as the poll published on Wednesday on behalf of the news magazine “Focus” revealed.

The Union thus lost 2 percentage points of approval compared to the previous week. The Greens lost 1 percentage point and would now have 21 percent. The SPD added one point to 19 percent. The FDP would come to 12 percent (-1), the AfD to 11 percent (unchanged), the Left to 7 percent (+1).

Forsa: Union loses three percent

In a new  Forsa poll on Wednesday for the federal election, the Union had lost three percentage points compared to the previous week and only came to 23 percent. The SPD, on the other hand, gained three percentage points and reached 19 percent, according to the RTL / ntv trend barometer published on Wednesday. This is the best value since April 2018.

The Greens remained unchanged at 20 percent, just one point ahead of the Social Democrats. Nothing changed for the AfD either with ten percent. The FDP gained one percentage point to 12 percent, the Left lost one point to seven percent.

A majority would therefore have four alliances in the new parliament: Black-Yellow-Green, a coalition of CDU / CSU, SPD and FDP, of Greens, SPD and FDP and an alliance of Greens, SPD and Left.

Election polls are generally always fraught with uncertainty. Among other things, declining party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. The Kantar Institute gives a statistical margin of error of 3 percentage points. In principle, surveys only reflect opinions at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the outcome of the election.

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